22 Jul · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
HO
🇺🇦Hryhoriy Oliynyk
ELO 1480
FormWLWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kryvoshyi
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kryvoshyi
ELO 1489
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Kryvoshyi stays under total as favourite 77% (22)
Fair odds · Kryvoshyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H14-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.