22 Jul · 07:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1543
FormWWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Syksa
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1458
FormWLLLL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H56-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (56-29)