22 Jul · 06:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OZ
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ziakun
ELO 1430
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kuzmenko
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1467
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
🌟Kuzmenko stays under total as favourite 63% (51)
Fair odds · Kuzmenko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H45-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.