22 Jul · 07:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1651
FormLWLWL
90%Win chancemodel fair 1.11Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2170
FormWWWWW
10%
90%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 90% · 1.11vsMarket 90% · 1.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 79%Total ~66 pts
0-3
52%
1-3
26%
2-3
12%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+519
H2H88-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+519)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (88-6)