22 Jul · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇺🇦Vladyslav Kovalchuk
ELO 1523
FormWWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Rodin
OR
🇺🇦Oleksii Rodin
ELO 1678
FormWWWWW
34%
66%
🌟Kovalchuk covers set handicap as underdog 62% (85)
Fair odds · Rodin
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~74 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
13%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)