22 Jul · 07:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VG
🇺🇦Vojtech Grubr
ELO 1568
FormWLLLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Dobias
LD
🇺🇦Ladislav Dobias
ELO 1659
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Grubr🌟Dobias rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (126)
Fair odds · Dobias
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
18%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+91
H2H16-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)