22 Jul · 09:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AT
🇺🇦Andrey Troyan
ELO 1517
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Martyniuk
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1544
FormLWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Martyniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (27)
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H7-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.