23 Jul · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1454
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Kurylenko
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1555
FormLWLWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Kurylenko
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H64-45
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-45)