23 Jul · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Miroshnychenko
ELO 1454
FormLWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1635
FormWWLWW
32%
68%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
19%
3-2
12%
3-1
12%
Elo Gap+181
H2H41-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+181)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (41-5)