23 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇺🇦Oleh Kurylenko
ELO 1555
FormLWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Hubenko
MH
🇺🇦Maksym Hubenko
ELO 1635
FormWWLWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Hubenko
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H50-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (50-14)