23 Jul · 08:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1525
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Syksa
DK
🇺🇦Dmitro Kuzmenko
ELO 1449
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H71-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (71-29)