23 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Konkulovskyi
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
50%
50%
🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 70% (66)
Fair odds · Konkulovskyi
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H15-34
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.