23 Jul · 11:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1542
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Emets
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.