23 Jul · 12:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AR
🇺🇦Andrii Romanenko
ELO 1578
FormLLLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Maksymiv
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1685
FormWWWLW
39%
61%
🔥 Underdog lean · Romanenko🌟Romanenko covers set handicap as underdog 70% (66)
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~74 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+107
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+107)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)