23 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇺🇦Marian Melisek
ELO 1464
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Melisek
PM
🇺🇦Pavel Moulis
ELO 1408
FormWWWLL
56%
44%
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~69 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H10-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)