23 Jul · 08:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1537
FormWWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Pisa
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1549
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 72% (36)
Fair odds · Pisa
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.36· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+12
H2H19-33
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.