23 Jul · 09:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OM
🇺🇦Oleksandr Mytsyk
ELO 1488
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Mytsyk
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Ovsiienko🌟Mytsyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (114)
Fair odds · Mytsyk
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.