23 Jul · 07:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1685
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Maksymiv
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1587
FormLLLWW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sukovatyi
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~73 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H24-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)