23 Jul · 12:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1630
FormWLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Radkovsky
LK
🇺🇦Leon Kolman
ELO 1594
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolman🌟Kolman covers set handicap as underdog 75% (52)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
17%
Elo Gap+36
H2H18-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.