23 Jul · 10:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1685
FormWWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Maksymiv
OP
🇺🇦Oleksandr Pohonov
ELO 1596
FormLWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~71 pts
3-1
23%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H26-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-15)