23 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1381
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vydra
MV
🇺🇦Milan Vydra
ELO 1397
FormLLLLW
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Akopyan🌟Vydra rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (28)
Fair odds · Vydra
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H10-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.