23 Jul · 13:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇺🇦Matej Svitac
ELO 1515
FormLLLLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Radkovsky
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1630
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
🔥 Underdog lean · Svitac🌟Svitac covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~73 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)