23 Jul · 07:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kolesnykov
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
17%
Elo Gap+37
H2H7-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.