23 Jul · 12:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1488
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Skhabitskiy
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1461
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
🌟Kovalenko stays under total as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H4-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.