23 Jul · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Sideltsev
ELO 1529
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1593
FormLWLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H20-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-9)