23 Jul · 08:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OL
🇺🇦Oleksandr Lipeiko
ELO 1501
FormLLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Solomko
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1537
FormWWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Solomko stays under total as favourite 65% (75)
Fair odds · Solomko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H7-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.