23 Jul · 13:00 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MM
🇺🇦Marian Melisek
ELO 1464
FormWLWLW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Melisek
DS
🇺🇦David Sabuka
ELO 1349
FormLLLLW
62%
38%
🌟Sabuka stays under total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Melisek
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~68 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
22%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)