23 Jul · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolesnykov
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1540
FormWLWLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H6-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.