23 Jul · 07:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LV
🇺🇦Lukas Veigl
ELO 1537
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adam
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Veigl🌟Veigl covers set handicap as underdog 72% (36)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+25
H2H10-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.