23 Jul · 07:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PK
🇺🇦Petr Kolesnik
ELO 1577
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pohorilyi
MP
🇺🇦Mykola Pohorilyi
ELO 1593
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Kolesnik rarely covers set handicap as underdog 35% (23)
Fair odds · Pohorilyi
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+16
H2H9-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.