23 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VK
🇺🇦Valerii Kolesnykov
ELO 1545
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kolesnykov
SS
🇺🇦Serhii Solomko
ELO 1537
FormWWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Solomko covers set handicap as underdog 66% (137)
Fair odds · Kolesnykov
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+8
H2H12-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.