23 Jul · 10:20 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇺🇦Kostiantyn Klymenko
ELO 1468
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klymenko
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1461
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🌟Kovalenko stays under total as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Klymenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.