23 Jul · 09:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1488
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1510
FormLWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 64% (75)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~72 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+22
H2H3-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.