23 Jul · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MV
🇺🇦Marek Vyskocil
ELO 1595
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Vyskocil
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
54%
46%
🌟Adam covers set handicap as underdog 66% (61)
Fair odds · Vyskocil
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+33
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.