23 Jul · 07:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SS
🇺🇦Sergii Skhabitskiy
ELO 1488
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skhabitskiy
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
🌟Ovsiienko covers set handicap as underdog 63% (62)
Fair odds · Skhabitskiy
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H6-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.