23 Jul · 09:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
SM
🇺🇦Serhii Maksymiv
ELO 1685
FormWWWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Maksymiv
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
61%
39%
Fair odds · Maksymiv
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~71 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
14%
Elo Gap+105
H2H45-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+105)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (45-39)