23 Jul · 09:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AA
🇺🇦Artur Akopyan
ELO 1381
FormWLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Cizek
PC
🇺🇦Pavel Cizek
ELO 1446
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Cizek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)