23 Jul · 07:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IE
🇺🇦Ihor Emets
ELO 1542
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Emets
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1540
FormWLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Emets
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
18%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.