23 Jul · 11:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AR
🇺🇦Adam Radkovsky
ELO 1630
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Radkovsky
PS
🇺🇦Petr Semrad
ELO 1554
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Semrad🌟Semrad covers set handicap as underdog 68% (57)
Fair odds · Radkovsky
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)