23 Jul · 11:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Syksa
ELO 1525
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Syksa
DP
🇺🇦Dmytro Prylepa
ELO 1485
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Syksa
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H52-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.