23 Jul · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇺🇦Radovan Pisa
ELO 1549
FormWWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adam
LA
🇺🇦Lukas Adam
ELO 1562
FormLLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Adam rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (43)
Fair odds · Adam
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+13
H2H22-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.