23 Jul · 11:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇺🇦Anatolii Kovalenko
ELO 1461
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stetsenko
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1510
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Kovalenko stays under total as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+49
H2H3-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+49)