23 Jul · 13:20 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇺🇦Maksym Stetsenko
ELO 1510
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Stetsenko
OO
🇺🇦Oleksandr Ovsiienko
ELO 1486
FormWLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Stetsenko stays under total as favourite 64% (75)
Fair odds · Stetsenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~73 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H47-67
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.