23 Jul · 10:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RK
🇺🇦Roman Konkulovskyi
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sukovatyi
IS
🇺🇦Ihor Sukovatyi
ELO 1587
FormLLLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Sukovatyi
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H32-30
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.