23 Jul · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AM
🇺🇦Andrii Martyniuk
ELO 1540
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Martyniuk
EP
🇺🇦Eduard Populovskyi
ELO 1508
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Martyniuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (27)
Fair odds · Martyniuk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H9-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.