23 Jul · 20:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
IH
🇺🇦Iurii Hrekh
ELO 1530
FormLLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Loboda
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1613
FormWLWLW
41%
59%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 66% (102)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H38-31
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-31)