23 Jul · 16:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ML
🇺🇦Myroslav Loboda
ELO 1613
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Loboda
GK
🇺🇦Gregory Kuzmenko
ELO 1526
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Loboda stays under total as favourite 66% (102)
Fair odds · Loboda
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+87
H2H16-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-12)