24 Jul · 09:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
ND
🇺🇦Nazar Danyliuk
ELO 1840
FormWWLWW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Danyliuk
BK
🇺🇦Bohdan Kohut
ELO 1661
FormLLWLL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Danyliuk
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
19%
2-3
12%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+179
H2H72-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+179)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-30)