24 Jul · 10:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DK
🇺🇦Dmytro Kryshtal
ELO 1624
FormLLLLL
91%Win chancemodel fair 1.10Ponomarenko
SP
🇺🇦Serhii Ponomarenko
ELO 2167
FormWWWWL
9%
91%
Fair odds · Ponomarenko
Model 91% · 1.10vsMarket 90% · 1.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 79%Total ~66 pts
0-3
53%
1-3
27%
2-3
12%
3-2
5%
3-1
3%
Elo Gap+543
H2H90-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+543)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (90-6)