24 Jul · 09:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇺🇦Serhii Kiilo
ELO 1432
FormLLWLW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Horokh
RH
🇺🇦Roman Horokh
ELO 1733
FormLWWLW
22%
78%
Fair odds · Horokh
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 83% · 1.21· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~72 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
18%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+301
H2H61-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+301)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (61-10)